AI 2027: Month-by-Month Intelligence Explosion Forecast

AI 2027 outlines a wild, month-by-month scenario forecasting how steadily improving AI agents will eventually accelerate research itself. Daniel Kokotajlo and Scott Alexander predict that by 2027 that when AI is able to run R&D autonomously will drive an intelligence explosion that could lead to ASI by early 2028.

They also explore geopolitical dynamics, like a US government push to control AI and China potentially stealing key AI advances, and discuss the balance between rapid innovation and safety risks.

Read the blog post here https://ai-2027.com or watch the amazing interview on the Dwarkesh podcast:

https://youtu.be/htOvH12T7mU?si=Fo8kwyCrUHlZcebW

It's great to find an opposition to AGI 2027 from Ege Eril and Tamay Bes, you can read directly here what their points are:

https://x.com/peterwildeford/status/1913223076289855683